Friday, 22 July 2011

The Many and the Few: Reflections on the Control of Population

My grandparents had a grandmother clock.  When my mother was ill, I remember the comforting sound of it.  It was a proper clock.  For sure, a child’s eye view, but I can clearly recall my dad’s face when he told us mum had lost the baby.   Nan said there were fields across the road, where I had only known a housing estate.  As Bury expanded, the suburban tide seemed relentless.  Since the world of the early 20th Century, when my grandmother was a child, there have been so many changes.   Conflict, rumours of wars, technical transformation and so many more people; everything is new.  Sometime between now and that pure town, before the world went mad and went to war, we have lost our demographic innocence.

Why the issue of population growth has remained politically toxic in liberal democracies is obvious enough.  The statistics are sobering, though.  In 1900, the year before my grandmother was born, global population stood at 1.7 billion.  It is now 6.8 billion.  According to some predictions that figure could rise to 9.2 billion by 2050.  On the 12th July Steve Connor reported in the Independent on a new two-year study by the Royal Society into global population levels.   John Sulston, joint winner of the Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine for his work on the human genome, will head the research.  He said, “We will be examining the extent to which population is a significant factor in the momentous international challenge of securing global sustainable development, considering not just the scientific elements but encompassing the wider issues including culture, gender, economics and law.” 

Sulston might have added ‘religion’ to that list.  The professor may not read the Mennonite Weekly Review but Sheldon Good’s piece, ‘Amish Population Continues to Grow, Especially in New York’, raises some troublesome questions.   Whilst American families work out at 2.5 children, Amish households typically average 7.  As Donald Kraybill points out, there are ‘push’ as well as ‘pull’ factors at work in the New York growth.  The availability of relatively affordable land and opportunities for small businesses are important.  Good summarises: “The Amish population doubled from 1991 to 2010, growing 5 percent on average every year”.     Demographics matter to the Amish.   In a community which does not proselitize growth is maintained through large family sizes and a high retention rate of around 85%.  The Amish may shun the world but can the world ignore the Amish? 

In one of my favourite Star Trek movies, ‘The Wrath of Khan (1982)’ Spock has sacrificed himself for the crew, receiving a fatal dose of radiation in the process.   Tugging down his jacket he summons his remaining strength to say goodbye. “The needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few”, he says.   Well, do they?  How shall we weigh the needs of the global many against the few?  Indeed, the many are the few.  We are all daughters, sons, families and communities.  This is the reason why the politicians find population control ‘toxic’ unless they are too autocratic to care.

Population control has never been attempted on a worldwide scale but it already carries the baggage of eugenics and coercive Statist social engineering.  Citizens of the global south are rightly suspicious that when over-consuming northerners mean ‘population control’ it isn’t our own populations we have in mind.  The world cannot go on like this.  But neither is coercion peaceable or sustainable.  To remain human the many need the few, more than ever.  

6 comments:

Arthur Sido said...

I read that same article in Mennoworld and as a father of 8 I have some skin the game. Among the Amish in our area, our family of ten is hardly unusual. We see families that size crammed into buggies all the time. I read something else interesting the other day that said the percentage of Americans who are children continues to decline even as our population grows. That is economically unsustainable as more and more people draw resources for a longer time from a shrinking pool of workers. It seems we are dealing with a much deeper issue than simply a larger population number.

sattler said...

Thanks Arthur, I too had real people in mind when I was thinking about 'population increase'. The trouble with quoting billions of this or millions of the other, is it disguises the personal and the intimate. When we were in Wales we lived with our friends, who had a very large and wonderful family. This is the reason I think the many need to talk to the few before clumsy 'solutions' are imposed from above.

Jake said...

I remember reading something in university about the connection between rising population numbers and healthcare. Even just 100 years ago, people were having many children, with the expectancy that some of them were going to die. This idea has been around for centuries, and such a mentality has not dissolved, especially in the third world. Despite better access to healthcare (although not always), many cultures and peoples, especially in the third world, still cling to the mentality that not all their children will make it and they must continue to procreate to ensure the survival of their families, and ultimately the species.

Is moving away from this mindset a possible answer to the question of the population (and in turn access to resources) crisis? I honestly don't know. It sounds like it possibly could be a good idea.

But then, as you said, you run into problems of eugenics and selectivity. And what about fertility clinics? People who in the past wouldn't have been able to have children now can. Is that a problem? Do we have the right to tell them they can't have children even though the option is now there? Do we have the right to offer them the chance to have children of their own? What about adoption?

I've also talked with friends about how it's nice and ideal to want and have children and families, but in today's world, it's extremely selfish (especially in terms of access to resources).

In the end, I really don't know, but population control is something I have struggled with over the last few years; not that I have plans for a family at this point in my life, but that idea for the future is always nice, and yet ridden with guilt because of the above concerns.

Thanks Phil for continuing the debate, and sorry for the long comment.

sattler said...

I appreciate the long comment. Population should certainly be out of the closet as an issue. I'm pitching for a shared solution, though. This is an issue where Anabaptists could have a major contribution to make.

Tim Chesterton said...

The provision of good health care doesn't necessarily take away the impetus to have more kids. Health care has to be paid for by someone. In Canada we're now told that with the baby boomers at retirement age and the next generation having smaller families, the ratio of taxpayers to health-care consumers is going down to a potentially unsustainable level.

I have four adult taxpaying kids so I've done my bit. Do I get a tax break?!

sattler said...

Back in the UK we're looking at a steep population increase, partly driven by migration. I'm very cautious about the politics of this because the figures are feeding into racism and xenophobia. There are still a few places in the UK where a few more people would be handy. I seem to remember them advertising for incomers in Shetland a while back.